In this blog post by GPS capital there are 4 steps mentioned to determine your FX exposure. It’s all about data gathering and structuring.
However, this might not always be possible or feasible in every company. What is the data is not structured or can be agregated. Or the data is just not there and you have to use projections?
Happy to hear your struggles and solutions in determine effectively and efficiently your FX exposures.
All data ideally has to be collected at risk identification level or latest at the point in time the risk is materialized (e.g. when the contract is signed). The question is, what is the source of truth to obtain this data including monetary items, balance sheet, sales orders, purchase orders, AP, AR and defined future inflows/outflows milestones?
When data is lacking, accurate forecasting using available tools and models is crucial. A solid foundation, diverse experience, and decision-making flexibility are essential. As we say in Brazil “If you don’t have a dog, hunt with a cat.”
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